Language:English
Jaime Faria v Hugo Grenier
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaime Faria (Local)
assuming max odds 1.17
Hugo Grenier (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.61
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 82.11%; Hugo Grenier (Visit): 17.89%. For Hugo Grenier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.371%.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.71%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +0.371%E +0.066%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.58%E -4.85%K -37.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.60%E -0.290%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 10:07 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.04%E -7.18%K -66.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.60%E -0.290%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.40%E -5.61%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.96%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.12%EV -7.22%E -6.39%K -55.52%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 17.88%EV -7.14%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.58%E -4.85%K -37.17%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 10:07 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.40%E -5.61%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.22%E -6.39%K -55.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.58%E -4.85%K -37.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.02%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 09:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |