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Hugo Gaston v Moez Echargui
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hugo Gaston (Local)
assuming max odds 1.32
Moez Echargui (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hugo Gaston (Local): 72.95%; Moez Echargui (Visit): 27.05%. For Moez Echargui (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.58, with an expected value of -3.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.70%E -2.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -3.17%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-25 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.70%E -2.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 13:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.70%E -2.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -3.70%E -2.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV -11.29%E -3.44%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-25 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.43%E -3.38%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.16%E -3.97%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.34%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-25 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.16%E -3.97%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.34%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-25 13:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.89%E -4.57%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.34%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 13:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.65%EV -5.89%E -4.57%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.35%EV -11.83%E -3.63%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-25 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.89%E -4.57%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-25 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.62%E -5.17%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-25 13:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.62%E -5.17%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-25 13:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-06-25 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-06-25 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-06-25 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.7% | 2026-06-25 13:20 |