The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Guy Den Ouden v Yi Zhou

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guy Den Ouden (Local)

Prediction 41.98%2.38fair odd
EV +18.81%
Edge +6.65%
Kelly +10.28%
Growth +1.93%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%39.99%41.98%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.292.202.8355.56%43.72%45.45%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yi Zhou (Visit)

Prediction 58.02%1.72fair odd
EV +10.81%
Edge +5.66%
Kelly +11.88%
Growth +1.28%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%60.01%58.02%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.601.621.9171.43%62.45%61.92%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guy Den Ouden (Local): 41.98%; Yi Zhou (Visit): 58.02%. For Guy Den Ouden (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV +18.81%E +6.65%K +10.28%G +1.93%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -17.04%E -11.91%K -39.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 13:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +15.45%E +5.62%K +8.83%G +1.36%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -18.78%E -13.41%K -46.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 13:49
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 13:49
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 13:49
NordicBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 13:49
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-22 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -24.43%E -13.57%K -30.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +10.81%E +5.66%K +11.88%G +1.28%7.9%2026-06-22 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-06-22 13:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-06-22 13:49
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%3.3%2026-06-22 13:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%7.0%2026-06-22 13:49