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Gianluca Cadenasso v Federico Cinà
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gianluca Cadenasso (Local)
assuming max odds 3.85
Federico Cinà (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gianluca Cadenasso (Local): 27.33%; Federico Cinà (Visit): 72.67%. For Gianluca Cadenasso (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +5.20%E +1.35%K +1.83%G +0.095% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -9.16%E -7.33%K -36.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -2.72%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.07%E -3.08%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.52%E -4.25%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -6.55%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -6.25%E -4.85%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 10:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.25%E -4.85%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.52%E -4.25%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV -10.37%E -3.16%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -4.07%E -3.08%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.34%E -2.51%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.52%E -4.25%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.52%E -4.25%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.29%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.52%E -4.25%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26% | 3.6% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |