The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Gauthier Onclin v Shintaro Mochizuki

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gauthier Onclin (Local)

Prediction 46.58%2.15fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.926%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.36%46.53%46.44%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.001.992.1752.36%49.90%50.25%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shintaro Mochizuki (Visit)

Prediction 53.42%1.87fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%53.47%53.56%55.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.761.761.8258.48%56.67%56.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gauthier Onclin (Local): 46.58%; Shintaro Mochizuki (Visit): 53.42%. For Gauthier Onclin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV +1.08%E +0.499%K +0.926%G +0.010%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -7.59%E -4.39%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 09:30
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.52%E -3.73%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 09:29
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 09:30
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.38%E -2.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -5.44%E -2.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.05%E -4.05%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 08:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.59%E -4.39%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 12:29
ReBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -7.30%E -3.67%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -2.78%E -1.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -3.31%E -1.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 08:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.85%E -2.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.66%E -5.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-24 09:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -10.10%E -5.23%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -4.92%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 08:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -10.56%E -5.50%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -5.99%E -3.40%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-24 08:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.85%E -2.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-24 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-06-24 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-06-24 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-06-24 09:30
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%3.9%2026-06-24 09:30