The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Francisco Comesana v Alejandro Moro Canas

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Francisco Comesana (Local)

Prediction 77.64%1.29fair odd
EV +16.46%
Edge +10.97%
Kelly +32.92%
Growth +5.42%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%77.76%77.64%78.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.241.201.5084.75%80.65%83.33%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Moro Canas (Visit)

Prediction 22.36%4.47fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.367%
Kelly -0.475%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%22.24%22.36%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.503.944.084.4040.00%25.37%24.48%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Comesana (Local): 77.64%; Alejandro Moro Canas (Visit): 22.36%. For Francisco Comesana (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +16.46%E +10.97%K +32.92%G +5.42%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -44.10%E -17.64%K -29.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 11:39
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.18%E -0.735%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 11:49
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 11:50
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-22 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.80%EV -7.61%E -6.39%K -40.04%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.20%EV -6.76%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.38%E -7.11%K -46.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.62%E -0.367%K -0.475%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-06-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-06-22 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-22 11:50
Smarkets◎1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%4.7%2026-06-22 11:49