A Escola das Odds

Frances Tiafoe v Terence Atmane

Início: 2026-06-30 18:14 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Previsão 78.44%1.27odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.928%
Kelly -4.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.34%78.36%78.40%79.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.191.221.211.2684.03%82.14%82.64%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Terence Atmane (Visitante)

Previsão 21.56%4.64odd justa
EV +3.50%
Vantagem +0.730%
Kelly +0.922%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.13%21.64%21.60%23.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.304.284.8025.00%23.26%23.39%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +3.50%E +0.730%K +0.922%G +0.032%3.5%2026-06-30 18:09
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -3.52%E -2.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +1.35%E +0.287%K +0.364%G +0.005%2.6%2026-06-30 18:09
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +1.35%E +0.287%K +0.364%G +0.005%3.9%2026-06-30 18:10
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.35%E +0.287%K +0.364%G +0.005%4.6%2026-06-30 18:09
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.809%E -0.176%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 18:09
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.809%E -0.176%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 18:09
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -2.10%E -0.463%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 18:09
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 18:03
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 18:08
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 18:09
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 18:10
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 18:09
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 18:10
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 18:10
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.52%E -2.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 18:07
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 18:08
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 18:09
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.66%E -5.60%K -35.05%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 18:10
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.66%E -5.60%K -35.05%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 18:09
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.52%E -2.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.12%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 18:10
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.12%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 18:09
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.66%E -5.60%K -35.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.12%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 18:09
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 18:09
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 18:09
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 18:09
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 18:09
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.28%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:59
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.28%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.36%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 18:09
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.36%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 18:09
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.36%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 18:09
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 18:10
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 18:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 18:09
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 18:10
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 18:10
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -3.52%E -2.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -10.51%E -2.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 18:09
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -1.17%E -0.928%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -10.94%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 18:10
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:10
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:09
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:04
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:10
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:10
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:09
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:09
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:09
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:09
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:10
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 18:09
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 18:09
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 18:10
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 18:10
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 18:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-06-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-06-30 18:10
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-06-30 18:09
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36%1.3%2026-06-30 18:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-06-30 18:09
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-06-30 18:10