La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Terence Atmane
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 78.44%1.27momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.928%
Kelly -4.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.34%78.36%78.40%79.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.221.211.2684.03%82.14%82.64%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Terence Atmane (Visitante)
Predicción 21.56%4.64momio equitativo
EV +3.50%
Ventaja +0.730%
Kelly +0.922%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.13%21.64%21.60%23.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.304.284.8025.00%23.26%23.39%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +3.50%E +0.730%K +0.922%G +0.032% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -3.52%E -2.86%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +1.35%E +0.287%K +0.364%G +0.005% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +1.35%E +0.287%K +0.364%G +0.005% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.35%E +0.287%K +0.364%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.809%E -0.176%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.809%E -0.176%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -2.10%E -0.463%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 18:03 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 18:08 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.97%E -0.659%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.52%E -2.86%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 18:07 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 18:08 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.66%E -5.60%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Betsson | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.66%E -5.60%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -4.04%E -0.909%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.52%E -2.86%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.12%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.12%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.66%E -5.60%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.12%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.63%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.28%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.28%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.36%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.36%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Fliff | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.36%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.43%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -3.52%E -2.86%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -10.51%E -2.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -1.17%E -0.928%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -10.94%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Neds | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| ProphetX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36% | 1.3% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |