La scuola delle quote

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Dino Prizmic

Inizio: 2026-07-01 16:52 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)

Previsione 80.58%1.24quota equa
EV -1.70%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -7.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.30%80.44%80.51%83.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.161.171.2289.29%85.91%85.47%81.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dino Prizmic (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.42%5.15quota equa
EV +8.77%
Vantaggio +1.57%
Kelly +1.91%
Crescita +0.167%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.91%19.56%19.49%22.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.954.945.005.6025.32%20.26%20.00%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +8.77%E +1.57%K +1.91%G +0.167%5.6%2026-07-01 16:30
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 82.57%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.43%EV +8.58%E +1.53%K +1.87%G +0.160%2.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.83%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.104%5.9%2026-07-01 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.83%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.104%5.9%2026-07-01 16:30
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020%4.3%2026-07-01 16:49
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020%4.3%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.97%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009%5.3%2026-07-01 16:32
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.97%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009%6.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.97%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009%6.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002%4.0%2026-07-01 16:30
ReBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002%4.0%2026-07-01 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002%7.0%2026-07-01 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.34%EV -0.553%E -0.108%K -0.134%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.941%E -0.185%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:30
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.941%E -0.185%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -9.75%E -8.71%K -81.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -0.941%E -0.185%K -0.230%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-01 16:50
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -9.75%E -8.71%K -81.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -0.941%E -0.185%K -0.230%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-01 16:50
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.22%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.78%EV -1.72%E -0.340%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:30
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -1.91%E -0.379%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 16:34
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:30
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:50
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:50
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:39
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 16:30
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:50
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:50
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.83%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 16:50
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 16:50
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:50
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:50
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:49
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 16:50
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:50
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:30
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.70%E -1.39%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:50
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:49
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:27
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -1.70%E -1.39%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -14.34%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 16:50
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -17.65%E -4.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -18.42%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-01 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -22.31%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-01 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -23.28%E -5.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-01 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-07-01 16:40
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-07-01 16:50
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-07-01 16:50
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 80.27%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.73%6.5%2026-07-01 16:50