La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Dino Prizmic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 80.58%1.24momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -7.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.30%80.44%80.51%83.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.161.171.2289.29%85.91%85.47%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dino Prizmic (Visitante)
Predicción 19.42%5.15momio equitativo
EV +8.77%
Ventaja +1.57%
Kelly +1.91%
Crecimiento +0.167%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.91%19.56%19.49%22.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.945.005.6025.32%20.26%20.00%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +8.77%E +1.57%K +1.91%G +0.167% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.57%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.43%EV +8.58%E +1.53%K +1.87%G +0.160% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.83%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.104% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.83%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.104% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 16:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| betPARX | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.94%E +0.555%K +0.685%G +0.020% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.97%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 16:32 |
| TABtouch | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.97%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.97%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| ReBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +1.00%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.66%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.34%EV -0.553%E -0.108%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.941%E -0.185%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.941%E -0.185%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -9.75%E -8.71%K -81.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -0.941%E -0.185%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -9.75%E -8.71%K -81.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -0.941%E -0.185%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.22%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.78%EV -1.72%E -0.340%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -1.91%E -0.379%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 16:34 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 16:39 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| TAB | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.88%E -0.577%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.83%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Fliff | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 16:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.70%E -1.39%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 16:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 16:27 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -1.70%E -1.39%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV -14.34%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -17.65%E -4.16%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -18.42%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.73%E -4.89%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -22.31%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -23.28%E -5.89%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| Novig | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.27% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.73% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |