The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Elias Ymer v Timofey Skatov

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elias Ymer (Local)

Prediction 27.47%3.64fair odd
EV +16.75%
Edge +3.94%
Kelly +5.15%
Growth +0.863%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%28.39%27.47%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.603.463.484.2538.46%28.87%28.78%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Timofey Skatov (Visit)

Prediction 72.53%1.38fair odd
EV +8.79%
Edge +5.86%
Kelly +17.59%
Growth +1.55%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%71.61%72.53%77.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.301.271.5084.03%76.63%79.05%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elias Ymer (Local): 27.47%; Timofey Skatov (Visit): 72.53%. For Elias Ymer (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -28.58%E -10.99%K -17.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +8.79%E +5.86%K +17.59%G +1.55%5.1%2026-06-24 15:48
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -19.79%E -6.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV +2.99%E +2.11%K +7.12%G +0.213%4.7%2026-06-24 15:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -27.20%E -10.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV +1.54%E +1.10%K +3.85%G +0.059%9.2%2026-06-24 15:49
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.59%E -5.86%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.54%E -2.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 15:49
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +16.75%E +3.94%K +5.15%G +0.863%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -12.96%E -10.80%K -64.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 15:50
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +15.38%E +3.66%K +4.81%G +0.739%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -12.96%E -10.80%K -64.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 15:49
Fliff🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +8.51%E +2.15%K +2.88%G +0.245%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -12.96%E -10.80%K -64.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-24 15:50
NordicBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 22.33%EV +13.73%E +3.32%K +4.37%G +0.600%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.67%EV -13.69%E -11.50%K -72.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-06-24 15:50
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-06-24 15:50