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Edas Butvilas v Moez Echargui
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Edas Butvilas (Local)
assuming max odds 1.40
Moez Echargui (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edas Butvilas (Local): 68.95%; Moez Echargui (Visit): 31.05%. For Moez Echargui (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.649%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.86%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.85%E -3.51%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -0.649%E -0.203%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-22 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.75%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.86%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 12:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.58%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 12:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -2.51%E -0.800%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.29%E -6.24%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.86%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.98%E -6.80%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.649%E -0.203%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 3.2% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |