The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Darwin Blanch v Filip Cristian Jianu

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darwin Blanch (Local)

Prediction 86.95%1.15fair odd
EV +0.857%
Edge +0.739%
Kelly +5.36%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.84%86.95%86.95%90.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.061.041.1698.04%94.16%96.15%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Filip Cristian Jianu (Visit)

Prediction 13.05%7.66fair odd
EV +24.02%
Edge +2.53%
Kelly +2.83%
Growth +0.679%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.74%13.05%13.05%16.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.028.499.459.5016.61%11.77%10.58%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darwin Blanch (Local): 86.95%; Filip Cristian Jianu (Visit): 13.05%. For Filip Cristian Jianu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.66. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.71%E -8.29%K -174.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +24.02%E +2.53%K +2.83%G +0.679%5.8%2026-06-22 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -9.58%E -9.21%K -239.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +24.02%E +2.53%K +2.83%G +0.679%6.7%2026-06-22 13:49
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -11.32%E -11.09%K -565.77%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV +23.36%E +2.47%K +2.76%G +0.646%8.6%2026-06-22 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -9.58%E -9.21%K -239.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +4.43%E +0.554%K +0.633%G +0.028%8.7%2026-06-22 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84%EV +0.857%E +0.739%K +5.36%G +0.046%6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16%EV -21.41%E -3.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-22 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-06-22 13:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-06-22 13:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-06-22 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%2.7%2026-06-22 13:49