Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.85
assuming max odds 2.21
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniil Glinka (Local): 51.28%; Kimmer Coppejans (Visit): 48.72%. For Kimmer Coppejans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.68%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -12.32%E -7.20%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV +7.68%E +3.48%K +6.35%G +0.487% | 3.7% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.116%E -0.056%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.116%E -0.056%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 10:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.84%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39% | 3.3% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39% | 3.3% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.22% | 8.7% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |