Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.50
assuming max odds 1.57
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniel Evans (Local): 38.40%; Tristan Schoolkate (Visit): 61.60%. For Tristan Schoolkate (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.57, with an expected value of -3.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.99%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-23 12:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.99%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.99%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 07:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.37%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 08:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.14%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 02:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-24 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.29%E -2.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -7.06%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-24 02:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -8.60%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -6.38%E -4.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 02:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-24 07:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-24 06:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.67%E -5.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.76%E -3.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-24 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-24 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-24 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 09:10 |