Language:English
Colton Smith v Michael Zheng
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colton Smith (Local)
assuming max odds 2.50
Michael Zheng (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colton Smith (Local): 40.25%; Michael Zheng (Visit): 59.75%. For Colton Smith (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.622%.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.622%E +0.249%K +0.415%G +0.003% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +0.622%E +0.249%K +0.415%G +0.003% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -2.20%E -0.903%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -10.37%E -6.92%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-25 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.02%E -3.04%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.78%E -6.47%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.41%E -0.855%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-25 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.46%E -6.26%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.41%E -0.855%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 0.1% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 1.4% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |