The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chun-Hsin Tseng v Gustavo Heide

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 15:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local)

Prediction 51.38%1.95fair odd
EV +9.43%
Edge +4.43%
Kelly +8.34%
Growth +0.787%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%50.63%51.38%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.891.882.1360.61%53.02%53.19%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gustavo Heide (Visit)

Prediction 48.62%2.06fair odd
EV -0.319%
Edge -0.156%
Kelly -0.304%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%49.37%48.62%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.881.862.0559.88%53.11%53.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local): 51.38%; Gustavo Heide (Visit): 48.62%. For Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV +9.43%E +4.43%K +8.34%G +0.787%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -14.42%E -8.19%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +7.89%E +3.76%K +7.17%G +0.566%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -18.80%E -11.26%K -28.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 15:38
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +3.78%E +1.87%K +3.70%G +0.140%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -12.48%E -6.93%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV +1.72%E +0.870%K +1.76%G +0.030%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 14:49
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.87%E -0.981%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.48%E -6.93%K -15.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 15:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.61%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 15:39
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 15:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -11.12%E -6.43%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -0.319%E -0.156%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 15:39
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -12.15%E -7.10%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.319%E -0.156%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-22 15:40
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -15.23%E -9.23%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -0.319%E -0.156%K -0.304%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-22 15:39
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-06-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-06-22 15:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%7.0%2026-06-22 15:40