The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chris Rodesch v Dusan Lajovic

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chris Rodesch (Local)

Prediction 12.43%8.05fair odd
EV +11.87%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.176%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.63%16.13%12.43%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.306.917.139.0030.30%14.48%14.04%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dusan Lajovic (Visit)

Prediction 87.57%1.14fair odd
EV +18.22%
Edge +13.50%
Kelly +52.06%
Growth +9.48%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.97%83.87%87.57%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.111.081.3594.34%90.29%93.02%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chris Rodesch (Local): 12.43%; Dusan Lajovic (Visit): 87.57%. For Dusan Lajovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -58.98%E -17.87%K -25.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV +18.22%E +13.50%K +52.06%G +9.48%4.4%2026-06-24 15:50
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.562%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 15:49
theScore Bet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.88%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 15:50
NordicBet🎯6.34I 15.77%NM 14.56%EV -21.20%E -3.34%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.44%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-24 15:50
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +11.87%E +1.32%K +1.48%G +0.176%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.30%E -5.89%K -90.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 15:49
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.30%E -5.89%K -90.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-24 15:49
Fliff🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -17.96%E -2.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.05%EV -6.30%E -5.89%K -90.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-24 15:50
MyBookie.ag🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.67%E -0.473%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.18%E -6.77%K -119.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%1.5%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%1.5%2026-06-24 15:50
Smarkets◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.56%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.44%2.1%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%2.5%2026-06-24 15:50