Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.68
assuming max odds 2.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chak Lam Coleman Wong (Local): 59.43%; Borna Gojo (Visit): 40.57%. For Chak Lam Coleman Wong (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.683. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.680, with an expected value of -0.158%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.158%E -0.094%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -12.77%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.72%E -3.87%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.72%E -3.87%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.82%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.72%E -3.87%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -6.10%E -3.86%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -6.28%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.10%E -3.86%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.72%E -3.87%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-22 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.72%E -3.87%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.75%E -4.88%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -5.07%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 10:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-06-22 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 2.5% | 2026-06-22 10:10 |