Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Hubert Hurkacz

Início: 2026-06-29 12:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Previsão 34.36%2.91odd justa
EV -0.345%
Vantagem -0.119%
Kelly -0.182%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.56%34.49%34.37%36.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.732.702.9040.00%36.60%37.04%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 65.64%1.52odd justa
EV -2.20%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -4.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.45%65.51%65.63%67.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.451.4971.43%68.92%68.97%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Casper Ruud (Local): 34.36%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 65.64%. Para Casper Ruud (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.91. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.90, com valor esperado de -0.345%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.345%E -0.119%K -0.182%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:07
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.06%E -0.724%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 12:10
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.41%E -0.848%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.75%E -0.972%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 12:10
SportsBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.75%E -0.972%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -3.44%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 12:11
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:04
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:09
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:59
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.47%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.47%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:10
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 12:10
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:08
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 12:07
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -6.53%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:06
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:11
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:11
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:06
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:10
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.66%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.97%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 12:09
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.09%E -5.64%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 12:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-06-29 12:11
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-06-29 12:11
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%3.0%2026-06-29 12:10