La escuela de los momios

Casper Ruud v Hubert Hurkacz

Inicio: 2026-06-29 12:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Casper Ruud (Local)

Predicción 34.36%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.345%
Ventaja -0.119%
Kelly -0.182%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%34.49%34.37%36.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.702.9040.00%36.60%37.04%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Predicción 65.64%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -4.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.45%65.51%65.63%67.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.4971.43%68.92%68.97%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.345%E -0.119%K -0.182%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:07
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.06%E -0.724%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 12:10
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.41%E -0.848%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.75%E -0.972%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 12:10
SportsBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.75%E -0.972%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -3.44%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 12:11
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:04
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:10
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:09
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:59
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:10
MyBookie.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.47%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 12:10
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.47%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:10
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 12:10
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:08
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:10
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 12:07
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -6.53%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:06
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:00
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:11
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:11
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:06
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:10
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:10
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:10
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.94%E -3.37%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:10
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.66%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.97%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 12:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.09%E -5.64%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 12:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-06-29 12:10
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-06-29 12:11
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-06-29 12:11
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%3.0%2026-06-29 12:10