The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Anton Matusevich v Rei Sakamoto

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anton Matusevich (Local)

Prediction 42.26%2.37fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.73%42.25%42.26%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.182.202.3052.36%45.94%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rei Sakamoto (Visit)

Prediction 57.74%1.73fair odd
EV +8.56%
Edge +4.55%
Kelly +9.72%
Growth +0.832%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%57.75%57.74%59.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.601.8864.10%60.81%62.50%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anton Matusevich (Local): 42.26%; Rei Sakamoto (Visit): 57.74%. For Rei Sakamoto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -19.29%E -10.10%K -21.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +8.56%E +4.55%K +9.72%G +0.832%5.5%2026-06-22 10:07
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -6.61%E -2.99%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -1.26%E -0.736%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 10:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -13.37%E -6.52%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.84%E -1.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 10:09
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 10:09
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 10:09
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.19%E -5.15%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 10:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 10:09
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-22 10:09
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -4.08%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -9.92%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 10:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-06-22 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-06-22 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-06-22 10:10
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-06-22 10:10