The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Alexis Galarneau v Oliver Tarvet

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexis Galarneau (Local)

Prediction 38.50%2.60fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.04%38.66%38.46%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.5343.48%41.51%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oliver Tarvet (Visit)

Prediction 61.50%1.63fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.80%61.34%61.54%61.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.5867.57%65.23%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexis Galarneau (Local): 38.50%; Oliver Tarvet (Visit): 61.50%. For Alexis Galarneau (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.53, with an expected value of -2.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.60%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-24 09:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 02:29
ReBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.91%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 09:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -5.30%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -7.13%E -4.72%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 09:30
GTbets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.45%E -2.66%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 12:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -6.84%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 02:29
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 02:30
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 12:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 02:29
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.82%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.13%E -4.72%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-24 07:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.98%E -6.06%K -18.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-24 09:30
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.46%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-24 02:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-24 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%1.1%2026-06-24 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%1.1%2026-06-24 09:30
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-06-24 09:30