StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex de Minaur v Roman Andres Burruchaga

Matchstart: 2026-06-30 11:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex de Minaur (Hemma)

Prognos 92.91%1.08rättvist odds
EV -3.38%
Fördel -3.25%
Kelly -84.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.30%92.82%93.06%96.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.011.031.031.0499.01%97.39%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Borta)

Prognos 7.09%14.10rättvist odds
EV +84.45%
Fördel +3.25%
Kelly +3.38%
Tillväxt +2.85%

med antagandet om högsta odds 26.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
3.74%7.18%6.94%9.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.5013.8914.0026.0010.53%7.20%7.14%3.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alex de Minaur (Hemma): 92.91%; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Borta): 7.09%. För Roman Andres Burruchaga (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 14.10. 15 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 26.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +84.45%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -6.17%E -6.10%K -616.50%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +84.45%E +3.25%K +3.38%G +2.85%2.9%2026-06-30 10:19
PlayUp🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +48.98%E +2.33%K +2.45%G +1.20%2.8%2026-06-30 11:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +48.98%E +2.33%K +2.45%G +1.20%2.8%2026-06-30 11:19
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +20.60%E +1.21%K +1.29%G +0.265%3.0%2026-06-29 20:29
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +20.60%E +1.21%K +1.29%G +0.265%3.0%2026-06-30 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +13.51%E +0.844%K +0.900%G +0.122%3.3%2026-06-30 09:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%3.8%2026-06-30 08:59
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%3.8%2026-06-30 09:19
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%4.7%2026-06-30 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%4.7%2026-06-29 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%4.7%2026-06-29 20:31
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%4.7%2026-06-29 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.17%E -6.10%K -616.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%5.7%2026-06-30 11:20
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +4.99%E +0.337%K +0.362%G +0.018%4.8%2026-06-30 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.24%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%14.35I 6.97%NM 6.76%EV +1.80%E +0.125%K +0.135%G +0.002%3.1%2026-06-30 10:30
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:19
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:19
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.17%E -6.10%K -616.50%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -4.23%E -0.313%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -4.23%E -0.313%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV -5.29%E -0.397%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 12:41
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.78%E -0.598%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.78%E -0.598%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 07:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.78%E -0.598%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.78%E -0.598%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 20:20
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.71%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%12.97I 7.71%NM 7.29%EV -7.99%E -0.616%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.32%E -0.906%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 06:49
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 08:59
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:20
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 06:39
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -16.64%E -1.42%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -18.42%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:09
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -18.42%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.96%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:09
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.96%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:09
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.96%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -25.51%E -2.43%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 23:09
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -29.06%E -2.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:29
Bet Victor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -32.61%E -3.43%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 11:17
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%0.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 11:10
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 10:20
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67%1.8%2026-06-30 11:20
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 94.13%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%2.2%2026-06-30 10:39