StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex de Minaur v Roman Andres Burruchaga

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-30 11:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex de Minaur (Heim)

Prognose 92.91%1.08faire Quote
EV -3.38%
Vorteil -3.25%
Kelly -84.45%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.04

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
90.30%92.82%93.06%96.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.011.031.031.0499.01%97.39%97.09%96.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Auswärts)

Prognose 7.09%14.10faire Quote
EV +84.45%
Vorteil +3.25%
Kelly +3.38%
Wachstum +2.85%

bei einer Höchstquote von 26.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
3.74%7.18%6.94%9.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
9.5013.8914.0026.0010.53%7.20%7.14%3.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alex de Minaur (Heim): 92.91%; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Auswärts): 7.09%. Für Roman Andres Burruchaga (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 14.10. 15 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 26.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +84.45%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -6.17%E -6.10%K -616.50%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +84.45%E +3.25%K +3.38%G +2.85%2.9%2026-06-30 10:19
PlayUp🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +48.98%E +2.33%K +2.45%G +1.20%2.8%2026-06-30 11:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +48.98%E +2.33%K +2.45%G +1.20%2.8%2026-06-30 11:19
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +20.60%E +1.21%K +1.29%G +0.265%3.0%2026-06-29 20:29
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +20.60%E +1.21%K +1.29%G +0.265%3.0%2026-06-30 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +13.51%E +0.844%K +0.900%G +0.122%3.3%2026-06-30 09:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%3.8%2026-06-30 08:59
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%3.8%2026-06-30 09:19
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%4.7%2026-06-30 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%4.7%2026-06-29 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%4.7%2026-06-29 20:31
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%4.7%2026-06-29 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.17%E -6.10%K -616.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +6.41%E +0.427%K +0.458%G +0.029%5.7%2026-06-30 11:20
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +4.99%E +0.337%K +0.362%G +0.018%4.8%2026-06-30 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.24%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%14.35I 6.97%NM 6.76%EV +1.80%E +0.125%K +0.135%G +0.002%3.1%2026-06-30 10:30
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:19
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:19
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:19
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.17%E -6.10%K -616.50%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -0.683%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -4.23%E -0.313%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -4.23%E -0.313%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:20
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV -5.29%E -0.397%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 12:41
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.78%E -0.598%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.78%E -0.598%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 07:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.78%E -0.598%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.78%E -0.598%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 20:20
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.71%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%12.97I 7.71%NM 7.29%EV -7.99%E -0.616%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.32%E -0.906%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 06:49
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 08:59
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:20
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.87%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 06:39
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -16.64%E -1.42%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -18.42%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:09
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -18.42%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.96%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:09
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.96%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 23:09
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.31%E -4.18%K -143.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.96%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -25.51%E -2.43%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 23:09
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.38%E -3.25%K -84.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -29.06%E -2.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:29
Bet Victor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.24%E -5.13%K -261.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -32.61%E -3.43%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 11:17
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%0.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 11:10
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 10:20
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67%1.8%2026-06-30 11:20
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 94.13%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%2.2%2026-06-30 10:39