Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic v Jenson Brooksby

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prediction 34.24%2.92fair odd
EV -0.711%
Edge -0.245%
Kelly -0.374%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%34.20%34.35%35.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.782.772.9038.17%36.01%36.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jenson Brooksby (Visit)

Prediction 65.76%1.52fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.44%65.80%65.65%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.441.441.4971.94%69.52%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 34.24%; Jenson Brooksby (Visit): 65.76%. For Aleksandar Vukic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -0.711%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.711%E -0.245%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.40%E -0.484%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.40%E -0.484%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.93%E -5.67%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -1.74%E -0.605%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -6.62%E -4.66%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.99%E -2.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.99%E -2.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.42%E -0.850%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.62%E -4.66%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -2.67%E -1.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.33%E -2.26%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.33%E -2.26%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 09:46
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.62%E -4.66%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.62%E -4.66%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.62%E -4.66%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.62%E -4.66%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:58
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.28%E -5.16%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.13%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.93%E -5.67%K -19.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 09:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.82%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.16%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.99%E -2.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:58
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.96%E -4.17%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.62%E -4.66%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:58
DraftKings🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
GTbets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -6.87%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.33%E -2.26%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:47
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.01%E -1.35%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.99%E -2.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.99%E -2.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 09:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.28%E -5.16%K -17.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:47
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.59%E -6.18%K -22.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
NordicBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.90%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.90%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.27%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.99%E -2.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.27%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.27%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.93%E -5.67%K -19.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.1%2026-06-29 10:00