The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alejandro Moro Canas v Soonwoo Kwon

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alejandro Moro Canas (Local)

Prediction 37.61%2.66fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.896%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%37.45%37.61%40.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.502.6244.44%40.63%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Soonwoo Kwon (Visit)

Prediction 62.39%1.60fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -6.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.37%62.55%62.39%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.541.5569.44%65.98%64.94%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Moro Canas (Local): 37.61%; Soonwoo Kwon (Visit): 62.39%. For Alejandro Moro Canas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -1.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.45%E -0.554%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 12:10
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.45%E -0.554%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 12:50
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -1.83%E -0.700%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-25 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-25 12:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.96%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 12:50
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 12:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.49%E -5.86%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 12:49
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.49%E -5.86%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 12:50
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -15.37%E -6.83%K -12.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-25 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-25 12:50
ProphetX◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%1.1%2026-06-25 12:50
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%3.1%2026-06-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%4.0%2026-06-25 12:50