Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 68.81%1.45fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -5.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%68.74%68.97%70.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.391.4275.19%72.20%71.94%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV -0.496%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.226%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.89%31.26%31.03%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.1935.71%33.47%33.33%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 68.81%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit): 31.19%. For Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.19, with an expected value of -0.496%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.29%E -1.62%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.29%E -1.62%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.10%E -3.90%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.29%E -1.62%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 05:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -5.80%E -1.92%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 18:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -0.496%E -0.155%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 18:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 05:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.36%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.74%E -0.554%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.36%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -2.68%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.36%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -2.68%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.36%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.36%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.36%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 11:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 11:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 10:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 10:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.10%E -3.90%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 03:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -5.73%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.43%E -0.453%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.73%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.74%E -0.554%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.73%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.30%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.30%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.11%E -5.27%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.11%E -5.27%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.11%E -5.27%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -8.49%E -6.38%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -2.68%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.49%E -6.38%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 15:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.49%E -6.38%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 19:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.7% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
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