The School of Odds

Brandon Nakashima v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Prediction 67.95%1.47fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -8.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%67.95%67.97%69.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4274.07%71.57%71.43%70.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)

Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV -0.978%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.468%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.87%32.05%32.03%34.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.953.0937.04%34.14%33.90%32.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 03:05
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:55
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 05:20
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.53%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -1.62%E -0.527%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 05:25
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.90%E -0.957%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:05
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.90%E -0.957%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:05
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 01:45
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 01:55
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 01:55
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:20
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 01:40
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 01:40
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 01:55
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:35
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 05:39
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:10
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 02:50
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 03:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 03:21
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 03:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 01:55
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 07:15
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV -0.978%E -0.316%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:50
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:50
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 02:00
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 03:05
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 03:20
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-07-27 05:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-07-27 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-07-27 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-07-27 03:45
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51%1.4%2026-07-27 05:05