Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brandon Nakashima v Taylor Fritz

2026-08-01 22:30 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Prediction 37.73%2.65fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%37.77%37.77%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.512.6142.55%39.86%39.84%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Visit)

Prediction 62.27%1.61fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%62.23%62.23%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.521.5667.57%65.92%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 37.73%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 62.27%. For Brandon Nakashima (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.61, with an expected value of -1.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -1.51%E -0.580%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.49%E -2.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 04:15
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.89%E -0.728%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 06:59
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 06:44
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.02%E -1.18%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.87%E -1.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 04:10
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.02%E -1.18%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.87%E -1.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 04:10
FanDuel2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -3.40%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 07:44
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.87%E -1.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.11%E -2.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 06:54
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.11%E -2.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 06:19
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.11%E -2.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 02:48
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 02:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 02:39
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:59
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:09
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:09
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:09
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:09
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:09
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:15
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:09
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:09
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:14
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:14
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:10
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:10
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:10
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:09
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.85%E -5.30%K -16.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 07:45
DraftKings2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.29%E -2.11%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.11%E -2.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 02:20
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.87%E -1.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 04:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 01:55
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 03:49
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 03:44
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 03:44
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 07:50
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 04:33
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 03:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 07:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 02:29
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 02:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 07:14
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 04:09
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 04:14
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.22%E -4.85%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 07:09
NordicBet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.04%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 02:40
Betsson2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.04%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 02:38
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -6.80%E -2.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.85%E -5.30%K -16.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 06:44
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 02:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 01:50
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 02:40
ReBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 02:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 01:50
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 02:28
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 02:29
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.19%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 06:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.49%E -2.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 01:49
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.49%E -2.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 01:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-08-01 07:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-01 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-01 08:05
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-01 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-01 07:40
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%1.6%2026-08-01 07:45
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.2%2026-08-01 08:00