The School of Oddsodds.tennis
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Alex de Minaur v Brandon Nakashima

2026-07-31 18:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prediction 60.69%1.65fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.70%60.68%61.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.15%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brandon Nakashima (Visit)

Prediction 39.31%2.54fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.693%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.37%39.30%39.32%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.382.5044.44%41.81%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.89%E -1.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:55
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.89%E -1.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 00:55
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 00:15
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.10%E -2.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.73%E -0.693%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-30 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.10%E -2.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.73%E -0.693%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-30 22:55
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.10%E -2.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:54
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 00:39
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 22:45
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:24
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:15
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:00
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 23:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 22:45
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 22:45
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 23:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 23:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 00:00
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.09%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:44
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 22:45
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:15
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 00:00
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 22:45
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 22:45
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 22:45
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.93%E -3.82%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -2.13%E -0.854%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 22:45
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.93%E -3.82%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.93%E -3.82%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.84%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 00:00
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.93%E -3.82%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.84%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.53%E -4.24%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-31 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -6.53%E -4.24%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -8.42%E -3.61%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 23:30
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -6.53%E -4.24%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -8.42%E -3.61%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 22:45
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 00:40
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 22:48
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 22:44
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 22:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.14%E -4.67%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 22:50
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -7.75%E -5.10%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -5.27%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.96%E -5.97%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-07-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-07-31 00:10
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-07-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-07-31 00:10
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-07-30 23:25
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-07-31 00:50
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%6.5%2026-07-31 01:00