Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev v Arthur Fery

2026-10-30 16:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Predicción 84.63%1.18momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -3.09%
Kelly -25.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.67%84.50%84.63%85.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.43%89.29%87.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Fery (Visitante)

Predicción 15.37%6.51momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.239%
Kelly +0.282%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.25%15.50%15.37%17.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.206.026.006.6119.23%16.61%16.67%15.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alexander Zverev (Local): 84.63%; Arthur Fery (Visitante): 15.37%. Para Arthur Fery (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.51. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.61, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.58%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.14%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV +1.58%E +0.239%K +0.282%G +0.004%2.8%2026-10-30 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.43%E +0.216%K +0.255%G +0.004%4.4%2026-10-29 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +1.27%E +0.193%K +0.228%G +0.003%4.5%2026-10-30 01:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 00:39
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 00:37
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 01:49
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 01:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-29 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.65%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 01:45
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.65%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 00:50
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-30 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-30 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-30 01:49
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.72%E -0.761%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 21:50
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.72%E -0.761%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 21:50
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.72%E -0.761%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 01:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.38%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.62%EV -7.03%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:35
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:10
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:10
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 20:50
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 01:20
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 01:29
picklebet_au🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.90%E -6.28%K -69.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 00:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-30 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.14%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.41%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-30 01:50
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.33%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 00:50
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.90%E -6.28%K -69.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -9.33%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 00:44
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.90%E -6.28%K -69.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -10.87%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-30 00:34
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.64%E -2.02%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 01:50
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.64%E -2.02%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.64%E -2.02%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 01:49
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.48%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 01:05
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.48%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 20:59
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.48%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.48%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -17.01%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-30 00:32
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.94%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -18.55%E -3.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-29 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -20.09%E -3.86%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-30 00:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-10-30 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-10-30 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-10-30 01:10
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-10-30 01:05
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-10-30 01:35
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%3.6%2026-10-30 01:35