StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev v Arthur Fery

2026-10-30 16:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev (Heim)

Prognose 84.63%1.18faire Quote
EV -3.52%
Vorteil -3.09%
Kelly -25.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.14

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
82.67%84.50%84.63%85.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.43%89.29%87.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fery (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.37%6.51faire Quote
EV +1.58%
Vorteil +0.239%
Kelly +0.282%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.25%15.50%15.37%17.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.206.026.006.6119.23%16.61%16.67%15.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Alexander Zverev (Heim): 84.63%; Arthur Fery (Auswärts): 15.37%. Für Arthur Fery (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.51. 3 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 6.61 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.58%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.14%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV +1.58%E +0.239%K +0.282%G +0.004%2.8%2026-10-30 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.43%E +0.216%K +0.255%G +0.004%4.4%2026-10-29 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +1.27%E +0.193%K +0.228%G +0.003%4.5%2026-10-30 01:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 00:39
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 00:37
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 01:49
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 01:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -0.110%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-29 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.65%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 01:45
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.65%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 00:50
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-30 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-30 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.95%E -0.632%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-30 01:49
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.72%E -0.761%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 21:50
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.72%E -0.761%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 21:50
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.72%E -0.761%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 01:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.38%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.62%EV -7.03%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 00:35
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:10
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:10
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 20:50
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 01:20
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 01:29
picklebet_au🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.90%E -6.28%K -69.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 00:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.79%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-30 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.14%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.41%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-30 01:50
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.33%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 00:50
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.90%E -6.28%K -69.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -9.33%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 00:44
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.90%E -6.28%K -69.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -10.87%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-30 00:34
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.37%E -3.86%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.64%E -2.02%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 01:50
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.64%E -2.02%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.64%E -2.02%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 01:49
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.48%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 01:05
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.48%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 20:59
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.21%E -4.65%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.48%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.48%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -17.01%E -3.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-30 00:32
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.94%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -18.55%E -3.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-29 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -7.75%E -7.11%K -86.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -20.09%E -3.86%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-30 00:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-10-30 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-10-30 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-10-30 01:10
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-10-30 01:05
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-10-30 01:35
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%3.6%2026-10-30 01:35