Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zizou Bergs v Carlos Taberner

Início: 2026-09-01 21:14 UTC

Final: Zizou Bergs 3–1 Carlos Taberner

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Previsão 91.73%1.09odd justa
EV -3.68%
Vantagem -3.51%
Kelly -73.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
87.65%91.77%91.75%94.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.041.041.0599.01%96.30%96.15%95.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Carlos Taberner (Visitante)

Previsão 8.27%12.09odd justa
EV +40.57%
Vantagem +2.39%
Kelly +2.54%
Crescimento +1.03%

pressupondo odds máximas de 17.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.71%8.23%8.25%12.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.4511.3211.0017.0013.42%8.83%9.09%5.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Zizou Bergs (Local): 91.73%; Carlos Taberner (Visitante): 8.27%. Para Carlos Taberner (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.09. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 17.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +40.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +40.57%E +2.39%K +2.54%G +1.03%3.0%2026-09-01 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.03%E +1.60%K +1.72%G +0.413%3.8%2026-09-01 21:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -7.35%E -7.28%K -735.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +15.77%E +1.13%K +1.21%G +0.191%6.2%2026-09-01 12:04
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.50%E +0.577%K +0.625%G +0.047%2.9%2026-09-01 20:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.50%E +0.577%K +0.625%G +0.047%3.8%2026-09-01 21:10
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.35%E -7.28%K -735.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.50%E +0.577%K +0.625%G +0.047%6.7%2026-09-01 21:00
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +5.43%E +0.426%K +0.462%G +0.025%4.0%2026-09-01 14:59
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +0.881%E +0.072%K +0.079%G +0.001%3.4%2026-09-01 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:05
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 04:35
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:05
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.43%E -6.31%K -321.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:59
GTbets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.00%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.85I 8.44%NM 8.00%EV -2.01%E -0.170%K -0.186%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.78%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%11.73I 8.53%NM 8.22%EV -3.01%E -0.256%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 21:10
1xBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -3.25%E -0.278%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -4.91%E -0.427%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -4.91%E -0.427%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -6.97%E -0.620%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:51
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.65%EV -6.43%E -6.31%K -321.72%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.35%EV -7.39%E -0.660%K -0.724%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 15:31
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 15:31
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:09
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:25
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 15:31
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:04
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 21:10
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 06:34
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 06:35
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 22:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.35%E -7.28%K -735.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 15:10
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.18%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:11
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.18%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.31%E -1.73%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.31%E -1.73%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 15:31
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.31%E -1.73%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -19.38%E -1.99%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -19.38%E -1.99%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 19:05
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -21.45%E -2.26%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.58%E -2.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:05
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.65%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.35%EV -38.40%E -5.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 19:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-01 20:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-01 20:55
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-01 20:40
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-01 21:10
ProphetX◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-09-01 20:56
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-09-01 20:55