Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zizou Bergs v Carlos Taberner

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 21:14 UTC

Score final : Zizou Bergs 3–1 Carlos Taberner

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 91.73%1.09cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -3.51%
Kelly -73.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.65%91.77%91.75%94.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0599.01%96.30%96.15%95.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Carlos Taberner (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.27%12.09cote équitable
EV +40.57%
Avantage +2.39%
Kelly +2.54%
Croissance +1.03%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.71%8.23%8.25%12.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.4511.3211.0017.0013.42%8.83%9.09%5.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zizou Bergs (Local) : 91.73% ; Carlos Taberner (Visiteur) : 8.27%. Pour Carlos Taberner (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.09. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 17.00, soit une espérance positive de +40.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +40.57%E +2.39%K +2.54%G +1.03%3.0%2026-09-01 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.03%E +1.60%K +1.72%G +0.413%3.8%2026-09-01 21:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -7.35%E -7.28%K -735.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +15.77%E +1.13%K +1.21%G +0.191%6.2%2026-09-01 12:04
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.50%E +0.577%K +0.625%G +0.047%2.9%2026-09-01 20:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.50%E +0.577%K +0.625%G +0.047%3.8%2026-09-01 21:10
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.35%E -7.28%K -735.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.50%E +0.577%K +0.625%G +0.047%6.7%2026-09-01 21:00
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +5.43%E +0.426%K +0.462%G +0.025%4.0%2026-09-01 14:59
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +0.881%E +0.072%K +0.079%G +0.001%3.4%2026-09-01 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:05
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 04:35
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:05
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.43%E -6.31%K -321.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.773%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:59
GTbets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.00%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.85I 8.44%NM 8.00%EV -2.01%E -0.170%K -0.186%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.78%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%11.73I 8.53%NM 8.22%EV -3.01%E -0.256%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 21:10
1xBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -3.25%E -0.278%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -4.91%E -0.427%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -4.91%E -0.427%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -6.97%E -0.620%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:51
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.65%EV -6.43%E -6.31%K -321.72%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.35%EV -7.39%E -0.660%K -0.724%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 15:31
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 15:31
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:09
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:25
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 15:31
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:04
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 21:10
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 06:34
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 06:35
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 22:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.35%E -7.28%K -735.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -9.04%E -0.822%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 15:10
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.18%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:11
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.18%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.31%E -1.73%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.31%E -1.73%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 15:31
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.60%E -4.42%K -114.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.31%E -1.73%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -19.38%E -1.99%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -19.38%E -1.99%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 19:05
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.52%E -5.36%K -183.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -21.45%E -2.26%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.58%E -2.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:05
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.65%EV -3.68%E -3.51%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.35%EV -38.40%E -5.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 19:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-01 20:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-01 20:55
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-01 20:40
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-01 21:10
ProphetX◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-09-01 20:56
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-09-01 20:55