Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Vit Kopriva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 21:15 UTC

Score final : Tomas Martin Etcheverry 3–0 Vit Kopriva

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)

Prévision 62.54%1.60cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -5.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%62.56%62.72%63.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.521.531.5567.57%65.61%65.36%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Vit Kopriva (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.46%2.67cote équitable
EV -0.729%
Avantage -0.275%
Kelly -0.442%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.01%37.44%37.28%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.83%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local) : 62.54% ; Vit Kopriva (Visiteur) : 37.46%. Pour Vit Kopriva (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.67. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.65, pour une espérance de -0.729% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.06%E -1.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.23%E -0.853%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 20:50
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.06%E -1.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 20:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.673%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.673%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 19:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 21:13
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 20:00
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 21:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 12:04
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.729%E -0.275%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 19:44
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.60%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 17:19
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 10:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 06:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 06:49
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 09:40
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 21:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 14:44
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 06:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:05
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.35%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 09:44
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 07:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -5.57%E -3.69%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.57%E -3.69%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:10
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.57%E -3.69%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.60%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 10:59
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 11:04
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 14:26
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:50
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 21:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 21:10
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.48%E -0.562%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 21:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-30 20:30
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-30 21:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-29 19:10
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-08-30 21:05