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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Vit Kopriva

Inicio: 2026-08-30 21:15 UTC

Final: Tomas Martin Etcheverry 3–0 Vit Kopriva

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)

Predicción 62.54%1.60momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -5.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%62.56%62.72%63.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.521.531.5567.57%65.61%65.36%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vit Kopriva (Visitante)

Predicción 37.46%2.67momio equitativo
EV -0.729%
Ventaja -0.275%
Kelly -0.442%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.01%37.44%37.28%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.83%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 62.54%; Vit Kopriva (Visitante): 37.46%. Para Vit Kopriva (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.67. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.65, con un valor esperado de -0.729%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.06%E -1.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.23%E -0.853%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 20:50
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.06%E -1.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 20:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.673%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.10%E -0.418%K -0.673%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 19:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 21:13
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 20:00
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 21:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 12:04
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.69%E -2.40%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.729%E -0.275%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 19:44
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.60%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 17:19
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 10:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 06:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 06:49
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 09:40
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 21:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 14:44
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 06:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:05
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.32%E -2.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.35%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 09:44
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 07:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.94%E -3.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -5.57%E -3.69%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.57%E -3.69%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:10
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.57%E -3.69%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.60%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 10:59
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 11:04
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 14:26
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:50
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 21:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 21:10
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.48%E -0.562%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 21:13
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-30 20:30
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-30 21:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-29 19:10
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-08-30 21:05