默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rafael Jodar v Thanasi Kokkinakis

开赛时间: 2026-09-01 16:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rafael Jodar (主队)

预测 88.05%1.14公平赔率
EV -2.26%
优势 -2.04%
Kelly -20.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.11

博彩公司预测分布
85.64%88.02%88.11%89.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.081.091.1194.34%92.21%91.74%90.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Thanasi Kokkinakis (客队)

预测 11.95%8.37公平赔率
EV +14.11%
优势 +1.48%
Kelly +1.65%
增长率 +0.233%

假设最高赔率为 9.55

博彩公司预测分布
10.04%11.98%11.89%14.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.857.709.5515.38%12.74%12.99%10.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Rafael Jodar (主队):88.05%;Thanasi Kokkinakis (客队):11.95%。 对于“Thanasi Kokkinakis (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.37。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.55,对应+14.11%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.92%EV -5.78%E -5.41%K -82.64%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.08%EV +14.11%E +1.48%K +1.65%G +0.233%3.9%2026-09-01 15:45
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.78%E -5.41%K -82.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +13.51%E +1.42%K +1.59%G +0.215%4.0%2026-09-01 15:40
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.67%E -6.29%K -111.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.51%E +1.42%K +1.59%G +0.215%4.9%2026-09-01 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.02%E -3.69%K -44.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.53%E +0.837%K +0.942%G +0.071%2.9%2026-09-01 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -6.67%E -6.29%K -111.09%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV +5.15%E +0.585%K +0.660%G +0.034%5.7%2026-09-01 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.02%E -3.69%K -44.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.56%E +0.184%K +0.208%G +0.003%3.5%2026-09-01 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.90%E -4.54%K -61.30%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -0.829%E -0.100%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 15:35
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.90%E -4.54%K -61.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.41%E -0.552%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.90%E -4.54%K -61.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.41%E -0.552%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.90%E -4.54%K -61.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.41%E -0.552%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.78%E -5.41%K -82.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.41%E -0.552%K -0.631%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.78%E -5.41%K -82.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.41%E -0.552%K -0.631%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.14%E -2.86%K -31.43%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -6.80%E -0.872%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.02%E -3.69%K -44.71%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -8.00%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.78%E -5.41%K -82.64%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.71%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 15:35
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.78%E -5.41%K -82.64%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.71%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.14%E -2.86%K -31.43%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -9.19%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 15:43
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.03%EV -2.26%E -2.04%K -20.57%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.97%EV -10.99%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 15:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.02%E -3.69%K -44.71%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -12.78%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.02%E -3.69%K -44.71%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -13.97%E -1.94%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:35
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.14%E -2.86%K -31.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.36%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 06:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.14%E -2.86%K -31.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.36%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 06:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.14%E -2.86%K -31.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.36%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 06:45
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.14%E -2.86%K -31.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.36%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 06:45
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.02%E -3.69%K -44.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -16.36%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.90%E -4.54%K -61.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.36%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 15:35
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.02%E -3.69%K -44.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -22.34%E -3.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 15:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-09-01 15:15
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-09-01 15:45
Novig◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66%2.5%2026-09-01 15:45
ProphetX◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%2.6%2026-09-01 15:35