Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nishesh Basavareddy (Local): 73.18%; Tristan Schoolkate (Visit): 26.82%. For Tristan Schoolkate (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +1.90%E +0.501%K +0.680%G +0.013% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.90%E +0.501%K +0.680%G +0.013% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 17:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.563%E +0.150%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.40%E -2.57%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.12%E -0.580%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.40%E -2.57%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.12%E -0.580%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.40%E -2.57%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.12%E -0.580%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.12%E -0.580%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.06%E -5.56%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.12%E -0.580%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.25%E -7.46%K -38.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.12%E -0.580%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.92%E -0.808%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.13%E -3.15%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 18:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.33%E -4.94%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.40%E -2.57%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -4.53%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.60%EV -4.53%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -2.67%E -2.00%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.13%E -3.15%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.13%E -3.15%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.94%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.94%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.40%E -2.57%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.40%E -2.57%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.13%E -3.15%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.86%E -3.74%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.57%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.13%E -3.15%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.13%E -3.15%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -7.79%E -6.18%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |