Language:English
Jurij Rodionov v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jurij Rodionov (Local)
Prediction 52.71%1.90fair odd
EV +0.671%
Edge +0.352%
Kelly +0.738%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%52.61%52.63%54.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.9158.14%55.64%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visit)
Prediction 47.29%2.11fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.99%47.39%47.37%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.022.022.0954.64%49.60%49.50%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jurij Rodionov (Local): 52.71%; Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visit): 47.29%. For Jurij Rodionov (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.671%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.671%E +0.352%K +0.738%G +0.005% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.45%E -7.35%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.144%E +0.076%K +0.160%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.14%E -5.34%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 06:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%EV -0.910%E -0.484%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%EV -2.10%E -1.02%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%EV -1.44%E -0.768%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%EV -4.00%E -1.97%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.02%E -1.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 16:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.02%E -1.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.94%E -2.46%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.02%E -1.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.02%E -1.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.07%E -2.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.07%E -2.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.07%E -2.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.07%E -2.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.36%E -3.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.07%E -2.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.36%E -3.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.60%E -2.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.16%E -0.554%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.60%E -2.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.36%E -3.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.36%E -3.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.36%E -3.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.83%E -3.47%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.83%E -3.47%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.65%E -3.16%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.10%E -1.02%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.18%E -3.47%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.71%E -3.79%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.71%E -3.79%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.71%E -3.79%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.71%E -3.79%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.71%E -3.79%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.76%E -4.44%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.34%E -5.43%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |