StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Arthur Gea

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 20:16 UTC

Slutresultat: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2–3 Arthur Gea

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Hemma)

Prognos 45.16%2.21rättvist odds
EV -2.46%
Fördel -1.14%
Kelly -2.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.01%45.30%45.16%48.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.092.092.1651.28%47.94%47.85%46.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Gea (Borta)

Prognos 54.84%1.82rättvist odds
EV -0.189%
Fördel -0.104%
Kelly -0.230%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.00%54.70%54.84%55.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.691.741.741.8259.17%57.60%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Hemma): 45.16%; Arthur Gea (Borta): 54.84%. För Arthur Gea (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.823. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.820, med väntevärdet -0.189%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 19:50
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 16:45
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.32%E -4.33%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 13:38
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.36%E -1.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 20:05
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.81%E -1.79%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.67%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:05
ReBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 20:03
Betclic (FR)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.22%E -3.64%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 19:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 13:29
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 19:25
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:05
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 18:05
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.67%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.67%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.67%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.22%E -3.64%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 17:35
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.32%E -4.33%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.62%E -2.69%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.62%E -2.69%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:29
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.62%E -2.69%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.67%E -3.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 13:19
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.07%E -2.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:00
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.52%E -3.15%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 20:10
Betsson🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.97%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 13:30
NordicBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.97%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.12%E -2.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 13:30
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 19:45
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 20:10
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 19:05
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.22%E -3.64%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 20:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 20:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -7.88%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 13:00
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -8.78%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -0.189%E -0.104%K -0.230%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 20:10
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -9.23%E -4.59%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -0.737%E -0.407%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.68%E -4.84%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.94%E -6.12%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.29%E -0.714%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 20:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-01 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-01 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-01 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-01 20:05
ProphetX◎2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%1.1%2026-09-01 20:10
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-09-01 20:05
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-09-01 20:05