Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaume Munar v Terence Atmane

Início: 2026-08-30 17:07 UTC

Final: Jaume Munar 3–2 Terence Atmane

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Previsão 36.92%2.71odd justa
EV +1.53%
Vantagem +0.558%
Kelly +0.877%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.29%37.07%36.89%39.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.552.542.7541.67%39.23%39.45%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Terence Atmane (Visitante)

Previsão 63.08%1.59odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.61%62.93%63.11%64.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.511.511.5670.42%66.43%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jaume Munar (Local): 36.92%; Terence Atmane (Visitante): 63.08%. Para Jaume Munar (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.71. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.53%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +1.53%E +0.558%K +0.877%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +1.53%E +0.558%K +0.877%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV +0.058%E +0.021%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.311%E -0.115%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.16%E -0.814%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 14:50
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.16%E -0.814%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 16:50
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -2.16%E -0.814%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.91%E -5.41%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:47
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.26%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.26%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:38
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 07:10
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:30
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -10.43%E -7.34%K -24.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.74%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 07:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -5.11%E -1.99%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 17:03
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -6.96%E -2.76%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:00
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -7.33%E -2.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:00
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -7.33%E -2.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 07:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:50
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 07:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.01%E -4.04%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.39%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.60%E -1.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.39%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:00
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.39%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 14:53
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -11.39%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.01%E -4.04%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-30 17:05
ProphetX◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-08-30 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-30 17:05
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.4%2026-08-30 17:05