Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jaume Munar v Terence Atmane

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 17:07 UTC

Score final : Jaume Munar 3–2 Terence Atmane

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prévision 36.92%2.71cote équitable
EV +1.53%
Avantage +0.558%
Kelly +0.877%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.29%37.07%36.89%39.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.542.7541.67%39.23%39.45%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Terence Atmane (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.08%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%62.93%63.11%64.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.511.5670.42%66.43%66.23%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jaume Munar (Local) : 36.92% ; Terence Atmane (Visiteur) : 63.08%. Pour Jaume Munar (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.71. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.53%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +1.53%E +0.558%K +0.877%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +1.53%E +0.558%K +0.877%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV +0.058%E +0.021%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.311%E -0.115%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.16%E -0.814%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 14:50
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.16%E -0.814%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 16:50
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -2.16%E -0.814%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.91%E -5.41%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:47
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.26%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.26%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:38
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 07:10
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:30
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -10.43%E -7.34%K -24.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.74%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 07:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -5.11%E -1.99%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 17:03
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -6.96%E -2.76%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:00
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -7.33%E -2.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:00
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -7.33%E -2.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 07:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:50
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 07:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.64%E -4.49%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.01%E -4.04%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.39%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.60%E -1.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.39%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:00
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.39%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 14:53
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -11.39%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.01%E -4.04%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 17:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-30 17:05
ProphetX◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-08-30 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-30 17:05
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.4%2026-08-30 17:05