Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chak Lam Coleman Wong v Tommy Paul

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 17:12 UTC

Final: Chak Lam Coleman Wong 1–3 Tommy Paul

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chak Lam Coleman Wong (Local)

Prediction 17.59%5.68fair odd
EV +6.45%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.082%

assuming max odds 6.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.74%17.59%17.55%19.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.315.256.0520.83%18.84%19.05%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Visit)

Prediction 82.41%1.21fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -15.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.27%82.41%82.45%84.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.161.1889.29%86.61%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chak Lam Coleman Wong (Local): 17.59%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 82.41%. For Chak Lam Coleman Wong (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.68. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +6.45%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.082%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.88%E -6.09%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:40
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.57%E +0.928%K +1.11%G +0.062%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 08:30
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.57%E +0.928%K +1.11%G +0.062%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.290%E +0.051%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.88%E -6.09%K -52.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 06:00
Pinnacle🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 17.18%EV -0.766%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.82%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 17.18%EV -0.766%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.82%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 06:05
LowVig.ag🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 17.18%EV -0.766%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.82%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 06:05
1xBet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.35%E -0.423%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 08:45
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 06:04
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 09:15
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:10
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:05
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:40
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.88%E -6.09%K -52.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:40
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.71%E -6.88%K -64.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.99%E -0.924%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 08:46
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.99%E -0.924%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 06:10
MyBookie.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.99%E -0.924%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.99%E -0.924%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.88%E -6.09%K -52.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:10
LeoVegas🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.75%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.63%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.63%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:05
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.63%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 05:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.63%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.23%E -4.55%K -34.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:54
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.63%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 05:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.63%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:54
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
BetRivers🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:50
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Bally Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.41%E -3.80%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
theScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.51%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.03%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.03%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.03%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:45
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.03%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:44
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.03%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:55
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.03%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.03%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.03%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.06%E -5.31%K -43.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 12:36
DraftKings🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -13.43%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 06:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -15.55%E -3.24%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.76%E -2.34%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:05
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.55%E -3.24%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.59%E -3.06%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-08-30 16:50
Novig6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-08-30 17:00
ProphetX6.50I 15.38%NM 15.25%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.75%0.9%2026-08-30 16:55
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-08-30 17:10