Language:English
Botic van de Zandschulp v Alex de Minaur
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)
Prediction 28.30%3.53fair odd
EV +4.42%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.073%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.49%28.20%28.30%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.303.6932.26%29.96%30.30%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Visit)
Prediction 71.70%1.39fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -6.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%71.80%71.70%73.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.38%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 28.30%; Alex de Minaur (Visit): 71.70%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49%EV +4.42%E +1.20%K +1.64%G +0.073% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +3.29%E +0.902%K +1.24%G +0.041% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +3.29%E +0.902%K +1.24%G +0.041% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.88%E +0.521%K +0.722%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.79%E -5.22%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV +1.03%E +0.288%K +0.400%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -6.79%E -5.22%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +0.462%E +0.130%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.07%E -4.64%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.953%E -0.272%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.92%E -2.93%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.953%E -0.272%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.79%E -5.22%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.953%E -0.272%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.79%E -5.22%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.953%E -0.272%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.79%E -5.22%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.37%E -0.686%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.92%E -2.93%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -2.37%E -0.686%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -7.51%E -5.82%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.22%E -0.941%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -3.92%E -2.93%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 21:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.07%E -4.64%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.07%E -4.64%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.79%E -5.22%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.79%E -5.22%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.79%E -5.22%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.79%E -5.22%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -4.63%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -4.91%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.04%EV -6.33%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.96%EV -7.51%E -5.82%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -6.90%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -6.90%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -3.92%E -2.93%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 20:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.07%E -4.64%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 15:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.35%E -4.06%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 21:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |