Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Início: 2026-09-06 23:11 UTC

Final: Ben Shelton 3–0 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Previsão 71.59%1.40odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -5.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.81%71.43%71.67%72.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.18%75.19%72.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Previsão 28.41%3.52odd justa
EV +1.15%
Vantagem +0.322%
Kelly +0.448%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%28.57%28.33%31.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.403.5633.33%29.98%29.41%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ben Shelton (Local): 71.59%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 28.41%. Para Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.52. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.56, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.15%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV +1.15%E +0.322%K +0.448%G +0.005%2.7%2026-09-06 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV +0.296%E +0.084%K +0.117%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 22:49
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.557%E -0.159%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -6.22%E -4.75%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -1.13%E -0.323%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.98%E -0.573%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.98%E -0.573%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.98%E -0.573%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 22:05
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 22:04
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:05
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 21:30
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:31
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:10
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -4.25%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.65%E -5.93%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 22:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 23:05
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 21:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.65%E -5.93%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 22:05
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 22:05
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.64%E -1.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:50
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 23:00
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 23:00
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 18:35
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 20:55
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 22:50
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -1.92%E -1.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -9.93%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:10
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.64%E -1.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 22:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 23:05
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 23:00
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59%1.5%2026-09-06 23:10
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-09-06 23:10
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-09-06 23:05