Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ben Shelton v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Początek: 2026-09-06 23:11 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Ben Shelton 3–0 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ben Shelton (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 71.59%1.40kurs godziwy
EV -1.92%
Przewaga -1.41%
Kelly -5.20%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.37

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
68.81%71.43%71.67%72.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.18%75.19%72.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Goście)

Prognoza 28.41%3.52kurs godziwy
EV +1.15%
Przewaga +0.322%
Kelly +0.448%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.08%28.57%28.33%31.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.343.403.5633.33%29.98%29.41%28.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Ben Shelton (Gospodarze): 71.59%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Goście): 28.41%. Dla wyniku Stefanos Tsitsipas (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.52. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.56, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.15%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV +1.15%E +0.322%K +0.448%G +0.005%2.7%2026-09-06 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV +0.296%E +0.084%K +0.117%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 22:49
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.557%E -0.159%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -6.22%E -4.75%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -1.13%E -0.323%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.98%E -0.573%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.98%E -0.573%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.98%E -0.573%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 22:05
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.07%E -3.04%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 22:04
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:05
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 21:30
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:31
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:10
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -4.25%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.65%E -5.93%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 22:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 23:05
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 21:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.65%E -5.93%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 22:05
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 22:05
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.64%E -1.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:50
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 23:00
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 23:00
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 18:35
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 20:55
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.50%E -4.17%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 22:50
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -1.92%E -1.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -9.93%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:10
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.79%E -3.60%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.64%E -1.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 22:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 23:05
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 23:00
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59%1.5%2026-09-06 23:10
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-09-06 23:10
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-09-06 23:05