Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev v Botic van de Zandschulp

Início: 2026-09-09 23:30 UTC

Final: Alexander Zverev 3–0 Botic van de Zandschulp

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Previsão 86.12%1.16odd justa
EV -2.68%
Vantagem -2.37%
Kelly -20.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.27%86.10%86.12%87.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.78%90.91%88.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)

Previsão 13.88%7.21odd justa
EV +4.06%
Vantagem +0.542%
Kelly +0.625%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.69%13.90%13.88%15.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.006.916.907.5016.67%14.46%14.49%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexander Zverev (Local): 86.12%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante): 13.88%. Para Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.21. 20 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.06%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%4.2%2026-09-09 04:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:45
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025%5.1%2026-09-09 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.595%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001%3.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.595%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001%3.1%2026-09-09 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +0.595%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001%3.9%2026-09-09 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +0.595%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001%3.9%2026-09-09 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.99%E -6.47%K -87.31%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.099%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 17:30
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:19
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 06:55
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:20
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:26
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.85%E -7.33%K -112.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 12:40
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -2.68%E -2.37%K -20.61%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.95%EV -3.29%E -0.472%K -0.551%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 13:31
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -3.57%E -0.513%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.26%E -0.618%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -4.26%E -0.618%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.71%E -8.21%K -145.13%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -4.26%E -0.618%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:30
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.91%EV -2.68%E -2.37%K -20.61%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 14.09%EV -4.40%E -0.639%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 11:11
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.00%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 14.00%EV -5.37%E -0.788%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -5.65%E -0.831%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:35
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -5.65%E -0.831%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:35
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -5.65%E -0.831%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.34%E -0.940%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 16:01
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.34%E -0.940%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 15:51
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.34%E -0.940%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.04%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -8.42%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:30
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -8.70%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -8.70%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 13:20
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:01
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 17:06
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 17:06
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:41
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.51%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -11.20%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:30
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.28%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:25
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -13.97%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -13.97%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:20
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.75%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:30
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.75%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 04:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.75%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%0.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Novig◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.57%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.43%0.5%2026-09-09 16:36
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-09-09 17:35