Idioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Botic van de Zandschulp
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 86.12%1.16momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -20.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.27%86.10%86.12%87.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.78%90.91%88.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)
Predicción 13.88%7.21momio equitativo
EV +4.06%
Ventaja +0.542%
Kelly +0.625%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.69%13.90%13.88%15.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.006.916.907.5016.67%14.46%14.49%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexander Zverev (Local): 86.12%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante): 13.88%. Para Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.21. 20 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.06%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 04:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.06%E +0.542%K +0.625%G +0.025% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.595%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.595%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +0.595%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +0.595%E +0.082%K +0.095%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.99%E -6.47%K -87.31%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.099%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 06:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.85%E -7.33%K -112.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.87%E -0.411%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -2.68%E -2.37%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.95%EV -3.29%E -0.472%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 13:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -3.57%E -0.513%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.26%E -0.618%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -4.26%E -0.618%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.71%E -8.21%K -145.13%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -4.26%E -0.618%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.91%EV -2.68%E -2.37%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 14.09%EV -4.40%E -0.639%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-08 11:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.00%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.82I 14.66%NM 14.00%EV -5.37%E -0.788%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -5.65%E -0.831%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -5.65%E -0.831%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -5.65%E -0.831%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.34%E -0.940%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.34%E -0.940%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.12%E -5.62%K -68.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.34%E -0.940%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.04%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -8.42%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -8.70%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -8.70%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:41 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.81%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.51%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -11.20%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.26%E -4.78%K -52.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.28%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -13.97%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -13.97%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.54%E -3.16%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.75%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.75%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 04:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.40%E -3.97%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.75%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 0.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.57% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 16:36 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |