Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ben Shelton v Jerome Kym

2026-10-29 10:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Prévision 75.94%1.32cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.981%
Kelly -4.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.63%76.01%75.73%78.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.231.221.3085.47%80.99%81.97%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jerome Kym (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.06%4.16cote équitable
EV +5.86%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.72%
Croissance +0.101%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.57%23.99%24.27%27.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.984.004.4028.99%25.12%25.00%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Ben Shelton (Local) : 75.94% ; Jerome Kym (Visiteur) : 24.06%. Pour Jerome Kym (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.16. 18 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.40, pour une espérance positive de +5.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.11%E -6.70%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.86%E +1.33%K +1.72%G +0.101%5.4%2026-10-27 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:29
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:29
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:29
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:30
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-27 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%5.5%2026-10-28 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.87%E -7.39%K -44.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%6.9%2026-10-27 22:34
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.081%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-27 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-28 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.59%E -5.36%K -28.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 23:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.11%E -6.70%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:39
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:34
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.87%E -7.39%K -44.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.87%E -7.39%K -44.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 23:30
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.87%E -7.39%K -44.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.97%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 01:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.15%EV -11.15%E -9.53%K -65.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -4.97%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-27 23:30
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 00:18
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 23:34
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.59%E -5.36%K -28.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-28 00:40
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 00:39
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 22:45
picklebet_au🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 23:35
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.03%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 22:34
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.03%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.03%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.03%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-27 23:34
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-27 23:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.79%E -2.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.80%E -4.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -8.11%E -6.70%K -38.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.80%E -4.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 23:34
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -1.28%E -0.981%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -17.00%E -4.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 22:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%7.8%2026-10-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%7.8%2026-10-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%7.8%2026-10-27 23:40
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 73.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%12.7%2026-10-27 23:30
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%16.0%2026-10-27 21:40
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.35%PlayUp 1.30 (77.2%) / FanDuel 4.40 (22.8%)Afficher les détails
Ben Shelton (Local)Jerome Kym (Visiteur)Marge
PlayUp🎯 1.30 (77.2%)FanDuel🎯 4.40 (22.8%)+0.351%