Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton v Jerome Kym

2026-10-29 10:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

76%

24%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Predicción 75.94%1.32momio equitativo

EV -1.28%

Ventaja -0.981%

Kelly -4.25%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

72.63%76.01%75.73%78.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.171.231.221.3085.47%80.99%81.97%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jerome Kym (Visitante)

Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo

EV +5.86%

Ventaja +1.33%

Kelly +1.72%

Crecimiento +0.101%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

21.57%23.99%24.27%27.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

3.453.984.004.4028.99%25.12%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Ben Shelton (Local): 75.94%; Jerome Kym (Visitante): 24.06%. Para Jerome Kym (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.16. 18 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.86%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
FanDuel🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.11%E -6.70%K -38.62%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.86%E +1.33%K +1.72%G +0.101%	5.4%	2026-10-27 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:29
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:30
BetRivers🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:29
Casumo🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:29
Grosvenor🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:30
TABtouch🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:29
Unibet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:30
betPARX🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-27 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	5.5%	2026-10-28 00:05
SportsBet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.87%E -7.39%K -44.35%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.25%E +0.529%K +0.691%G +0.016%	6.9%	2026-10-27 22:34
1xBet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%	4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.081%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-27 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.59%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-28 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.59%E -5.36%K -28.66%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-27 23:28
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.11%E -6.70%K -38.62%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-27 23:35
Bet Right🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-28 00:39
Betway🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-28 00:34
Coolbet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-28 01:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.87%E -7.39%K -44.35%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-27 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.87%E -7.39%K -44.35%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-27 23:30
Sky Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.87%E -7.39%K -44.35%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-27 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.30%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.97%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-28 01:20
PMU (FR)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 77.15%EV -11.15%E -9.53%K -65.58%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -4.97%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-10-27 23:30
Bovada🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-10-28 00:18
Betsson🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-27 23:30
Fanatics🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-27 23:30
NordicBet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-27 23:34
DraftKings🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.55%E -2.80%K -13.16%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-27 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.59%E -5.36%K -28.66%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-28 00:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-28 00:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-27 22:45
picklebet_au🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-10-27 23:35
888sport🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.03%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-27 22:34
William Hill🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.03%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-27 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.03%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-27 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.03%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-27 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-10-27 23:34
ReBet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.35%E -6.03%K -33.41%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-10-27 23:30
TAB🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.79%E -2.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.80%E -4.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-27 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -8.11%E -6.70%K -38.62%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.80%E -4.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-10-27 23:34
PlayUp🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -1.28%E -0.981%K -4.25%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -17.00%E -4.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-27 22:34

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%	7.8%	2026-10-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%	7.8%	2026-10-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%	7.8%	2026-10-27 23:40
Smarkets◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 73.91%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%	12.7%	2026-10-27 23:30
Matchbook◎	1.21I 82.64%NM 71.26%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%	16.0%	2026-10-27 21:40

Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.35%PlayUp 1.30 (77.2%) / FanDuel 4.40 (22.8%)Ver detalles

PlayUp🎯 FanDuel🎯

Ben Shelton (Local)	Jerome Kym (Visitante)	Margen
PlayUp🎯 1.30 (77.2%)	FanDuel🎯 4.40 (22.8%)	+0.351%